Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2980.595024 3220.500393 3463.531469 3727.840253 4006.858184 4292.324421 4606.135172
2024-12-22 2558.363429 2912.214987 3284.170474 3703.065922 4160.439834 4643.438696 5190.807864
2024-12-29 2351.871994 2780.749329 3243.720525 3778.109471 4375.336401 5019.704273 5764.900848
2025-01-05 2164.848299 2644.873453 3174.979999 3799.665547 4511.415773 5292.932004 6211.637397
2025-01-12 2001.885899 2519.448015 3102.808382 3802.979827 4614.319371 5518.789713 6597.000509
2025-01-19 1799.466295 2332.957400 2946.598115 3696.477658 4579.739132 5578.783144 6785.631904
2025-01-26 1745.227480 2316.461517 2984.081270 3811.405279 4798.213435 5926.787217 7303.834251
2025-02-02 1676.956487 2277.289660 2989.815068 3884.668147 4964.817836 6213.055010 7750.427545
2025-02-09 1578.590496 2194.762398 2937.716563 3883.513976 5038.909582 6388.018573 8065.098184
2025-02-16 1476.814004 2102.106292 2867.960144 3855.982602 5077.127212 6517.379159 8323.770919
2025-02-23 1416.416641 2058.660855 2856.227610 3897.218002 5196.917705 6743.118764 8697.235852
2025-03-02 1338.984801 1988.942582 2807.742436 3889.319006 5253.707198 6891.138209 8976.516204
2025-03-09 1295.469443 1963.077768 2815.174706 3952.980124 5401.658695 7153.872718 9400.695239
2025-03-16 1216.964990 1886.661552 2754.215934 3926.877370 5435.492076 7276.107313 9654.144429
2025-03-23 1186.688374 1874.053309 2775.223481 4005.259626 5600.763198 7560.771372 10108.100618
2025-03-30 1136.811301 1831.744318 2754.716991 4027.771229 5693.635870 7755.010793 10450.891731
2025-04-06 1083.147435 1781.480432 2721.254849 4031.232299 5760.545103 7915.975381 10752.390618
2025-04-13 991.532817 1672.756070 2604.460239 3919.996300 5675.211123 7882.048309 10807.730704
2025-04-20 986.679165 1689.479834 2659.785050 4040.030763 5892.847059 8233.994685 11350.842349
2025-04-27 967.355663 1683.803258 2683.246319 4116.528158 6053.352505 8513.859187 11804.562889
2025-05-04 923.461142 1639.503980 2650.863039 4115.323155 6109.897815 8659.902905 12088.593075
2025-05-11 873.333433 1583.508713 2599.859216 4086.578065 6128.166089 8755.553107 12307.906308
2025-05-18 848.179457 1564.652085 2601.059434 4129.630485 6242.601152 8976.254150 12688.646105